Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira

Alex Perez vs. Tatsuro Taira

I was definitely an Alex Perez hater this year. i made cracks about his last win being 4 years ago and essentially counted him out. Then he had a decent showing against Mokaev where he defended takedowns and scrambled well but was low volume. He had a quick turnaround...
Garrett Armfield vs. Brady Hiestand

Garrett Armfield vs. Brady Hiestand

I saw this on paper and wanted to fade Garrett instantly. i think he is getting too much credit for a close win and essentially won by walking forward. But then i did the tape study and decided this isn't the fight to fade Garrett. Brady can struggle with forward...
Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Johnson

Asu Almabaev vs. Jose Johnson

Jose Johnson is long enough to give Asu trouble on the feet, but unfortunately for him he doesn't have good enough takedown defense to keep it there. i think Asu comes forward, snatches up those long ass legs and grinds out another straight forward win. He is -400...
Miles Johns vs. Douglas Silva de Andrade

Miles Johns vs. Douglas Silva de Andrade

Miles Johns is the younger, faster and likely more well rounded fighter here, but he is still the underdog because of how durable Douglas is. Douglas is not a guy that you can get out of there quickly and he will push your cardio. The pushing of the cardio is the...
Lucas Almeida vs. Timmy Cuamba

Lucas Almeida vs. Timmy Cuamba

Timothy Cuamba is a good sized favorite at almost 2-1 and I think that is heavy recency bias. He looked good in a short notice loss up in weight while Lucas is riding back to back losses. If Cuamba was a big time wrestler, I would understand the line gap, but in a...
Nate Maness vs. Jimmy Flick

Nate Maness vs. Jimmy Flick

Sometimes you don't even need to look at the opponent, you just look at one side of the fight and know for a fact they will be losing. Jimmy Flick could be fighting my 5 year old daughter and I'm picking the kid. Nate Maness is the pick and unless he bet on himself to...