Finally, the wait is over! We're back and ready to rock at the UFC APEX after a quiet week with no UFC action. Many of the upcoming fights appear to have a good chance of not lasting until the final bell.
This event appears to be jam-packed with expected finishes. Some of these names prefer to go for the standout moments rather than wait for a judge's call. Interested in knowing which fights to watch? Stay tuned. We're about to break down some of these exciting matchups, especially for those playing UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green on FanDuel.
If you have any questions please don’t hesitate to tweet @WeWantPicks on Twitter and they will get back to you ASAP.
FIGHT #1 TO TARGET (-550 FDNGTD)
Joe Pyfer ($21) vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan ($9)
With recent successes, Joe Pyfer brings both powerful striking and a strong ground game to the octagon. Pyfer's dual-threat capability in the striking and grappling departments make him a formidable favorite in this bout. Abdul Razak Al Hassan, on the other hand, is known for his immense striking power and frequently relies on it, occasionally neglecting his high-level judo skills. His recent victory over Claudio Ribero demonstrated his raw power while also indicating potential strategic gaps.
Pyfer will almost certainly use strikes and potential takedowns to keep Al Hassan off balance. This approach may prevent Al Hassan from developing a distinctive rhythm. The early rounds are crucial for Al Hassan; his high octane approach means his power punches in the early game are his best shot. Pyfer's 50% strike defense could be a weakness if Al Hassan exploits it.
On paper this fight should be fireworks out of the gate. While the momentum appears to be in Pyfer's favor, overlooking Al Hassan's knockout potential could prove costly. This is a great fight to get high exposure to while leaning more towards Pyfer but still getting a little exposure to Al Hassan as well may be the best bet.
FIGHT #2 TO TARGET (-325 FDNGTD)
Phillipe Lins ($14) vs. Ion Cutelaba ($17)
Ion Cutelaba enters the octagon with a volatile win/loss record. Known for his aggressive style and incredible power, he is frequently let down by a weak chin. Felipe Lins, a former heavyweight, brings powerful leg kicks and a tough chin to the table. Lins' 100% takedown defense has yet to be tested against a grappler of Cutelaba's caliber, and his recent victory over Maxim Grishin showcased both his power and some questionable wrestling decisions.
Despite being primarily a grappler, Cutelaba possesses a surprising knockout ability. He thrives in close-range brawls and is always looking for a stoppage. This high-risk strategy was on display in his victory over Tanner Boser. This approach, however, exposes him to fatigue. If he fails to secure an early victory, Lins may exploit Cutelaba's potential fatigue and find a way to get to his chin.
Predicting the outcome of this fight is a difficult task. While Cutelaba's aggressiveness may give him a slight advantage, Lins can exploit any flaws in Cutelaba's defense. The bout's inherent unpredictability is its main draw, promising high-risk, high-reward action that makes it a must-see for fans and DFS players alike.
FIGHT #3 TO TARGET (-260 FDNGTD)
Drew Dober ($22) vs. Ricky Glenn ($8)
Drew Dober enters the ring with a reputation for technical striking and a historically tough chin. His stand and bang approach, combined with a baiting strategy, has frequently drawn opponents into combat. However, his recent KO loss to Matt Frevola suggests potential flaws. Ricky Glenn, a volume striker with a notable early fight threat, has a significant disadvantage in grappling, having only 4 takedowns in his UFC career. His recent KO loss to Christos Giagos calls into question his defense against a skilled striker like Dober.
From a strategic standpoint, the matchup appears to favor Dober. Glenn's need for takedowns to gain an advantage appears improbable given his track record. However, Dober's fighting style carries inherent risks, necessitating an early knockout to justify his high betting market valuation. In essence, while Dober appears poised for an early knockout, his high-reward style is offset by significant risks.
Glenn faces an uphill battle against Dober's striking prowess, given his recent track record, which includes a 52% strike defense rate. Dober's track record of KO/TKO victories over top-tier competition suggests a difficult night for Glenn. This fight promises to be exciting, but with both fighters presenting unique risks and advantages. This looks to be a good fight to target proceed with caution and strategy when adjusting your exposures.
GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND
Good look to all heading into this event. If you are watching it at home, follow along with @WeWantPicks on YouTube for live bets on the fight companion. Also, tweet your winning lineups at us and we will do our best to recognize your greatness.
Enjoy the event, and make sure to keep it locked on We Want Picks for tons of great MMA content.
