Last week we ended up getting a somewhat memorable card with a biting disqualification despite a mostly lackluster night of fights. This week UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot brings us to Atlantic City. While on paper not the most exciting night, there are still ways to seek profit as a DFS player. So let’s take an early look at 3 of the fights on this card that standout from a FanDuel DFS perspective.
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FIGHT #1 TO TARGET (-600 FDNGTD)
NURSULTON RUZIBOEV ($20) vs. SEDRIQUES DUMAS ($11)
Nursulton Ruziboev and Sedriques Dumas are set for a highly anticipated fight, not only because of the promise of intensity, but also because of the stark stylistic differences that favor Ruziboev. With the odds heavily favoring an ITD finish, the fight is billed as a potential showcase for Ruziboev's grappling prowess against Dumas' more balanced, albeit criticized, fighting style. Critics have long pointed out flaws in Dumas' game, emphasizing his victory over an older fighter who lacked endurance. Meanwhile, Ruziboev is regarded as a grappling juggernaut, with his aggressive ground game expected to overshadow Dumas' striking and wrestling mix.
Despite a successful UFC record, Sedriques Dumas faces doubts about his abilities, primarily because of his performance against veterans who are considered past their prime. His upcoming fight against Ruziboev is viewed as a critical test that could reveal additional flaws in his game. Ruziboev, on the other hand, is expected to not only win, but to do so in a way that justifies his status as the clear favorite. His last-minute victory over Bruno Ferreira only adds to the image of a fighter whose ground game could be Dumas' undoing, making Ruziboev a solid pick for those looking to take advantage of what many see as a mismatch.
This matchup is intriguing not only for its potential on the field, but also for the opposing styles on display. Ruziboev's patience and control on the mat versus Dumas's street-fighting grit and adaptability creates a classic grappler vs. striker matchup, though with nuances due to Dumas' own wrestling and kickboxing abilities. While Dumas may bring power and an unpredictable element to the octagon, most believe Ruziboev's grappling prowess will be the deciding factor. This fight, therefore, is more than just another bout; it's a litmus test for Dumas against a formidable grappler, as well as a golden opportunity for Ruziboev to cement his reputation and potentially set up even bigger matchups in the future.
FIGHT #2 TO TARGET (-400 FDNGTD)
IBO ASLAN ($16) vs. ANTON TURKALJ ($14)
Ibo Aslan and Anton Turkalj are set to face off again in a rematch of their 2020 encounter, with their first meeting serving as a blueprint for what could happen. Despite dominating the early stages with formidable striking and unexpected takedowns, Aslan eventually succumbed to fatigue, losing in the second round via submission. This outcome has since hung over Aslan's career, shadowed by doubts about his endurance. Nonetheless, Aslan's impressive streak of four knockouts since their last fight, combined with Turkalj's recent struggles, including a knockout loss to Tyson Pedro, tilts the odds in his favor.
Ibo Aslan brings a unique brand of power to the octagon, capable of ending fights with explosive strikes and formidable physicality. While his approach can sometimes border on recklessness, his sheer force has proven overwhelming for most opponents. Aslan's strategy rarely includes grappling by choice, but he expertly uses trips and takedowns to unleash ground-based attacks. His major flaw, an exposed vulnerability to stamina issues in his loss to Turkalj, remains a critical concern that could decide the rematch.
Anton Turkalj, on the other hand, has a distinct style characterized by versatility and unpredictability. Turkalj is known for his dynamic striking and willingness to engage in high-risk maneuvers, and his style is both entertaining and diverse. His proclivity for pushing the pace and employing a diverse attack has distinguished him, though his recent record reflects a precarious position in the UFC. Turkalj's resolve and strategic adaptability will be tested as he faces Aslan, a formidable debutant out to avenge his only professional loss. As the fight is heavily favored to end before the final bell, excitement grows for a possible Aslan victory, which could change both fighters' careers.
FIGHT #3 TO TARGET (-325 FDNGTD)
CHIDI NJOKUANI ($17) vs. RHYS MCKEE ($14)
Despite a concerning three-fight losing streak that includes two knockouts, Chidi Njokuani enters this fight as a clear favorite. This favoritism is based on his clear reach advantage and presumed power superiority over Rhys McKee, who has struggled against fighters with similar characteristics. Although Njokuani's grappling abilities have yet to be tested in the UFC, the matchup suggests he will have little trouble taking McKee down. Given these circumstances, his favored status is understandable; however, investing in a fighter with a recent history of faltering after early success raises legitimate concerns.
Njokuani's striking ability, defined by speed, power, and adept distance management, distinguishes him. His ability to move and strike without becoming a stationary target has made it difficult for opponents to counter, especially if they fail to close the gap and challenge him on the ground. His recent loss to Michal Olejczuk, despite a strong early performance, highlights a vulnerability that develops over time in the octagon, particularly against aggressive ground strategies. Rhys McKee, on the other hand, has had a difficult time in the UFC, with significant setbacks highlighting his preference for range striking and grappling difficulties, presenting a stylistic vulnerability against a fighter like Njokuani.
The critical aspect of this fight could very well hinge on Njokuani's weight loss, adding an element of uncertainty until the weigh-ins. Assuming he manages his weight successfully, Njokuani's strength and technique advantages position him as the most likely winner in a matchup with plenty of action. While McKee's chances appear slim, the fight's expected intensity and potential for an inside-the-distance finish make it a tempting option for fantasy lineups, albeit with a cautious approach given Njokuani's recent performances and McKee's potential for an upset.
GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND
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