I have to go Clayton here. He feels like the real deal. His grappling is impressive and Rocha leaves himself open to be taken down. 1+1=2 here and Carpenter should dominate here. Moneyline is still affordable at -170 but that won't last long.
Clayton Carpenter
Clayton Carpenter is a very slick grappler who will take wild chances hunting for submissions. He is a very fast paced guy who rushes forward and immediately sets the tone. He is always hunting for a finish and even though he is only 7-0 as a professional, he has a ton of competition experience. He has been competing since he was a teenager all over the world. He is coming off a dominant win in his UFC debut where the grappling was a showcase of control.
Lucas Rocha
Lucas Rocha is a solid striker with great volume and body work. He stays busy and pressures forward with almost no regard what comes back his way. Many times, wha comes back his way is a takedown because of how upright Rocha stands. If he is taken down he has good enough BJJ to defend and decent enough scramble skills to stand up. He is making hsi UFC debut after a successful contender series bid last year