We head back to the Apex for UFC Fight Night Vegas 113, headlined by Mario Bautista going against Vinicius Oliveira. This should be a pretty fun card overall, and we have 13 fights for DFS purpose which makes it more fun. There are a few random spots for fights here, like Jalton Almeida fighting Kuniev, but top to bottom it should be a fun night once again.
For anyone who hasn’t read this article before, this series will be released every week on Thursday and will cover the slate by isolating the fighters that I like within the various salary groups. Plays are subject to change as new information comes out and you can unlock access to the entire suite of DraftKings DFS tools and information with Premium Membership – Click Here To Join – Use code ‘ADP’ for 10% off your first month!
$9,000+ PRICE POINT
Daniil Donchenko
Donchenko looked great in his debut, and now gets a veteran who is 1-4 in his last 5 fights and is 11 years older going up against a dog this time out. Morono only sports a 47% takedown defense, Donchenko also has an 8 significant strike per minute output, so Daniil by whatever way he decides to end it is the pick. He scored over 120 DK points in his debut, and I think we see him just wear Morono down and find a finish pretty early here, 2nd round at the latest.
Wang Cong
Cong may look pretty dumb with the joker face paint on at weight ins, but she is a pretty solid fighter. She averages over 7 significant strikes per minute in her fights, has 3 good scoring DK wins, and gets to fight Moura who will look to wrestle while Cong sports a 100% takedown defense. Cong should get the win here, and should do it inside the distance to payoff her DK salary.
Michal Oleksiejczuk
This analytically looks to be a pretty even matchup, but Michal O is the better striker and does not have to really worry about Barriault’s wrestling as he has a porous 28% takedown accuracy. He has ballooned to a near -500 favorite, and I think we see his power put Marc-Andre’s lights out for an early KO.
$8,000 – $8,900 PRICE POINT
Mario Bautista
This is a very fun fight to headline the card, both guys are very good fighters and Oliviera has burst onto the scene from the DWCS. I think Bautista is just going to show him that there are levels here, and Bautista has been able to beat everyone except the very top of the division. He had Umar hurt in their fight, and has looked good in basically every fight except the Aldo one. Pushes the pace, averages almost 6 significant strikes per minute, mixes in takedowns and I think we will see him wear Oliviera out.
Jailton Almeida
I think after not getting the decision win against Volkov, Almeida is going to change his approach to the fights after he gets the takedowns. He will get takedowns regardless of being a smaller heavyweight, but now I think we will see him move for TKO’s and submissions knowing he cannot just lay on top. Kuniev getting to fight another high ranked heavyweight while having done nothing to prove he deserves the fight is another thing, but Almeida should do whatever he wants here. He averages over 2 takedowns per round, and I think we see him implement the same gameplan he always does, just this time he will start looking for a finish.
Muin Gafurov
I think Wiklacz looked very mediocre against Patchy Mix, and now he gets an opponent in Gafurov who has the power to knock him out instead of the pillow hands of Patchy. Muin will need to not get caught in a submission here, because Jakub will be looking to grapple as that is where he is comfortable, but I think we will see the power land and Gafurov finish Wiklacz inside the distance here.
Under $8,000 PRICE POINT
Priscila Cachoeira
This is a pretty even matchup dealing with 2 women who like to strike. Sygula is coming off a nice win, but I think in matchup where the striking is pretty even, I will side with the fighter who has the power shots here. The other aspect to consider is if Cachoeira cannot stay striking with Klaudia, she can always look to wrestle because Sygula’s takedown defense is sitting at a nice low 33% rate.
Julius Walker
Jacoby is the better fighter, and the favorite for a reason, but Walker is young and athletic and has some potential. He has a 2 inch reach advantage, 1 inch taller, and is 11 years younger. E also can mix in takedowns if need be, so while he is the dog I think he is pretty live here for a win and if he wins, he should pay off his salary.
Jean Matsumoto
This should be a really fun fight for the division, with two of the younger up and comers squaring off here. I think Jean got robbed in his loss, but he will push the pace and wrestle while also maintaining an average of almost 5.5 significant strikes per minute. Basharat is good, and is the favorite for a reason, but Matsumoto is too cheap for the upside he brings in a fight of really promising young guys here.
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