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Cage Warriors 202: Silva vs. Brown Predictions

This is a great Cage Warriors card taking place one day after Cage Warriors 201. It takes place at 01:30 PM ET on UFC Fight Pass.

SAMUEL SILVA (13-5-1) vs. OMIEL BROWN (12-3) – Lightweight Championship

Samuel Silva is probably best known for his short notice upset win over George Hardwick. He managed to beat Hardwick by decision is what was a somewhat controversial result, but the right man won in my opinion. That earned him a DWCS opportunity where he got knocked out by Mandel Nallo. I did pick Nallo in that fight as Silva does have defensive weaknesses. Silva is a massive guy for the weight class and he throws a decent amount of volume, but he can be a slow starter. I think his cardio will be fine as well since he has shown he can fight 5 rounds before. Brown is the interim champion, and he won the belt by defeating Omar Tugarev. I was quite sad about this result as I thought Tugarev was a promising prospect. That fight was very grappling heavy but Brown has the better moments on the feet and was able to threaten his own submissions, and reverse Tugarev's positions. I think Brown is the more technical boxer out the two as well so he should be able to hang with Silva. Silva does shoot offensive take downs on occasions but Brown should be able to defense these like he did with Tugaraev's. We may even see Brown look to grapple as he has shown good ability. Silva is returning after getting slept 6 months ago and honestly we may see him knocked out again. He has been hurt in prior fights and has three losses by KO now. The pick is Brown but I think a decision is most likely. He might get a KO here if Silva's chin is truly gone

Pick: Omiel Brown by decision. Low-medium confidence.

NATHAN FLETCHER (9-3) vs. THYAGO SILVA (11-6) – Bantamweight

Fletcher's first fight after getting released by the UFC. Cage Warriors know what they are doing here. Silva is undersized, and all 6 of his losses are by submission.

Pick: Nathan Fetcher by submission. High confidence.

IEAN DAVIES (6-0) vs. MICHAEL PAGANI (8-2) – Lightweight

This is a grappler vs. striker match up. I like Pagani as his fights are always chaos. He is a striker with high output and decent power but he doesn't have great striking defense. He won't need to worry about getting knocked out here though as we don't see much striking out of Davies. Davies looks to grapple early and from there on he has been able to submit all of his opponents. If Davies is a victim on the feet he will get knocked out here which is what makes this an intriguing fight. Pagani isn't useless on the ground as he has good defense and an ability to get back up, but his initial take down defense isn't very good. [air that with the fact that Davies is massive for 155 lbs and there is a decent chance we see him get held down. Pagani is a tough fighter to pick against as I did fully believe in him as prospect and his recent losses haven't aged poorly at all. He went to war against Mason Jones for three rounds and then fought a close fight against Ntelis who missed weight. He bounced back with a big KO over Tim Wilde. We haven't seen Davies fight for nearly 18 months so who knows what he is going to look like in this fight. I don't like the inactivity especially considering he is now fighting a power puncher and he has a big weight cut.  Very tough fight to call and if Davies had a more recent performance that impressed me I would likely side with him.

Pick: Michael Pagani by KO/TKO. Very low confidence.

ADAM CULLEN (10-3) vs. LOIBE NETO (7-5) – Lightweight

Cage Warriors have been desperately trying to push Cullen for years now. Truth is he just isn't good enough to become the next star out of the promotion like Luke Riley (or even Paddy Pimblett). That loss to Lukas Cruz is a horrific fraud check which is why Cullen has been getting easy fights since. When Cullen is given cans he is a big time finisher whether that is by KO or submission, but this guy has never been finished so that's probably the narrative the broadcast will run when he wipes the floor with guy.

Pick: Adam Cullen by KO/TKO. High confidence.

SHAY INGRAM (4-0) vs. TORPAL MERJOEV (6-1) – Lightweight

Full transparency: I am biased towards Shay Ingram. I think this guy is the real deal and he has been impressing ever since he made his debut as a pro. Ingram has dominated everyone he has fought and to be fair he hasn't been getting cans either. Merjoev will be his toughest test though as Merjoev just gave Jordan Vucenic a tough fight before he death gassed late. Merjoev makes no sense to me as he looked absolutely terrible on the regional scene, getting out grappled by a guy with a losing record. He is tiny for lightweight as well and would definitely benefit from dropping a  weight class. Merjoev pulled off a massive upset against Teddy Stringer which is a fight he was definitely brought in to lose. He was getting taken down by Stringer early, but Stringer's striking is so unbelievably bad Merjoev was able to work back into the fight for a round 2 submission finish. Ingram hasn't struggled to take opponents down yet and once he gets them down he doesn't stop hunting for ground and pound or submissions. If Ingram can get his take downs early he should be able to work towards a submission.

Pick: Shay Ingram by submission. Medium confidence.

GEORGE STAINES (8-0) vs. MARCELO MARQUES (12-0) – Lightweight

This fight is ridiculous and should be on DWCS instead of this card. George Staines is a huge lightweight grappler who also struggles with the striking. He just got his fight KO win against Harris who is a wrestler. He has looked good throughout his career but this is a big step up in competition for him. Marques is also undefeated, and is 3-0 in the LFA against some quality competition. He also uses his wrestling to win fights but his take down accuracy isn't super high. He isn't the best striker but he has plenty of power to make up for his developing technique. A lot of this fight will take place on the ground and it will likely go all 15 minutes. If that is the case I favour Staines as he has better cardio and is the better grappler of the two. Staines can get taken down himself but he isn't a typical BJJ nerd so he will work to get back up instead of pulling guard. Picking Staines as he is the better grappler is a fight which I expect to have a lot of grappling.

Pick: George Staines by decision. Low confidence.

JOE FIELDS (6-0) vs. IAGO SILVA (9-3) – Flyweight

Fields is a guarantee for DWCS if he gets a win here. He has had a slow career build up but has recently started to fight better competition and this is another step up. On paper Silva has a decent record but he has only ever beaten one fighter with a winning record. He is also tiny at 5'2″. I watched his fight against Maxim Federov and even though that was at 125 lbs it looked like they were in two different weight classes still. He is very flat footed and mostly swings wild hooks. He attempts a lot of take downs but doesn't have good wrestling at all. Fields is going to have a big size advantage  just like he did in his last. Fields is a grappler who mostly looks for control which is why he doesn't have a lot of finishes even though he hasn't fought great competition. Outside of him getting caught by one of those wild hooks like Federov nearly did, Fields should cruise to win here. He is the much better wrestler and grappler.

Pick: Joe Fields by submission. Medium-high confidence.

The Writer

Artem MMA

Artem MMA

Regional Analyst