The pick is going to have to be Lucas here but I am a bit worried about the grappling. There is not a ton of footage of him defending takedowns and the footage i do have, isn't great. It is very possible that Tobias gets this to the ground and grinds out a win. I am going to stick with Lucas because his striking and athleticism are very impressible but I do wish we had better odds.

Rafael Tobias

Rafael Tobias is a very good grappler with solid takedowns. He is big, strong and fast but his athleticism really shines on the ground. He has fantastic control as well as finishing ability on top. His striking is not very good and he's stuff, but he stays protected and works forward to get people to the ground. His ceiling may be limited, but he can have early UFC success off of his grappling alone. He is coming off the decision loss to Diyar Nurghozay where he went 2 for 8 in takedown attempts.

Lucas Fernando

Lucas Fernando is a long lead striker who moves forward and keeps you at the end of his strikes. He is defensively sound with clean head movement and has a nice a jab. He doesn't possess typically light heavyweight power, but he has great volume and finds finishes there. He is fast, athletic and creative with what he throws and where he throws it. Plenty of spinnng attacks and body shots keep his oppents guessing. He can wrestle as well but never his first choce.