We are heading into UFC 329 with the return of the one and only Conor McGregor against Max Holloway in what should be a very fun international fight week card for the UFC in Vegas. Top to bottom we have a fun card with some big names, and there should be a lot of fights that do not go the distance this week.There are also a handful of fights where if you make multiple lineups it makes sense to have shares from each side, as both fighters paths to victory would score well.
For anyone who hasn’t read this article before, this series will be released every week on Thursday and will cover the slate by isolating the fighters that I like within the various salary groups. Plays are subject to change as new information comes out and you can unlock access to the entire suite of DraftKings DFS tools and information with Premium Membership – Click Here To Join – Use code ‘ADP’ for 10% off your first month!
$9,000+ PRICE POINT
Gable Steveson
UFC is giving him a quick easy win here against Ellison, the problem will be configuring a way for him to be in your lineups and not have the same chalk build as anyone else jamming someone 9900 into their lineup. I think we see him score 100+ and win easily, but you better pick the cheap fighters right to correlate the salary usage.
Adrian Yanez
Garbrant stinks, and it was 50/50 for him or Costa to be in this spot between Gable and Max, so I chose the fight where there are two primary strikers and one of them has a 5 inch reach advantage and double the output on the feet. I think Yanez pieces him up on the feet en route to TKO, but it needs to be in the first two rounds to pay off the salary.
Max Holloway
He is coming off getting grapple fucked by Oliveira and now gets a rematch from 13 years ago against someone who has not fought competitively in 5+ years. I think he either finds a TKO finish with a ton of volume like normal, or loses a competitive fight and has his normal 150+ significant strikes unless he gets caught with ground and pound, but I want him or Conor in my lineups.
$8,000 – $8,900 PRICE POINT
Ryan Gandra
This fight should finish and not make it past round 2 if I had to guess, and I think we see Gandra press forward and catch Reese with some power and turn the lights off. If Reese can get a takedown it will really show us how Gandra can respond to that, but I like both these guys to score well in a win and I will lean Gandra to get it done, but both of them make sense in your lineups.
Terrence McKinney
He is an all action first round killer who is getting the finish or getting finished, and faces the savvy vet King Green who has looked really solid in his last 3 fights. McKinney is just so damn powerful and athletic that I think we see something similar to the Ruffy fight where he catches Green early and sends him to sleep.
Wang Cong
Cortez is a very meh fighter who will rely on her wrestling to try and win, whereas Cong will look to put her lights out on the feet, or find a submission or ground and pound finish. The Joker stick is cringe, but Cong should be able to beat up on Tracy here and find another win.
Under $8,000 PRICE POINT
Mario Bautista
This is a rematch where Sandhagen won years ago, and both of these guys have just gotten better since then. I think Bautista has improved more, showed real grit against Umar and ultimately I believe has more paths to victory than Cory. I think he has better wrestling, more power, and just has to not get caught by something crazy and he will win here.
Paddy Pimblett
This fight should be pretty damn wild and entertaining while it lasts. BSD is always pushing to find a finish quickly, and Paddy is one tough SOB to put away, just ask the current champ of their division. Benoit is coming off a like 20 second win over Dariush, where he got clipped and dropped first but recovered in time to knock out Benny. I think Paddy will look for the Moicano route where if he gets BSD down, he does not really know what to go against a big strong heavy grappler and we see Paddy find either a club and sub, or club and ground and pound TKO finish.
Conor McGregor
Any win here and he is optimal, and I think we see him implement some wrestling. He should have a big power advantage, but 5 years off is a real issue and he has had some tough injuries and losses in the last half decade. I think one of these two finds a finish, so I want one of them in my lineups.
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