Off to Brazil we go for UFC Fight Night Rio, headlined by the always exciting Charles Oliveira taking on Mateus Gamrot who is stepping in on short notice. We will of course have a ton of Brazilian fighters on the card here, 13 fights scheduled if we are able to not have anyone miss weight like jackass and pull out, and we have a pretty solid card for DFS purposes.
For anyone who hasn’t read this article before, this series will be released every week on Wednesday and will cover the slate by isolating the fighters that I like within the various salary groups. Please be aware that these plays are subject to change as the week goes on. You can unlock my Saturday Morning Slate Sleuth article that contains my exact plays, and access to the entire suite of DraftKings DFS tools available with Premium Membership – Click Here To Join – Use code ‘ADP’ for 10% off your first month!
$9,000+ PRICE POINT
JOEL ALVAREZ
Has only lost to Arman in the last 5 years, has the height, reach and age advantage, averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute and should be able to march through Luque here. Averages over 96 DK points per win, so I would expect another high score from him here.
MONTEL JACKSON
Montel has a huge 5 inch height advantage, 7 inch reach advantage, and also has the wrestling advantage. He typically scores great in wins on DK, minus his last fight, and Figgy is getting up there in age and cage time, so look for Jackson to wrestle his way to another big DK score.
$8,000 – $8,900 PRICE POINT
MATEUSZ GAMROT
Gamrot stepping in on short notice, Oliveira seemed hesitant at first to accept this fight as stylistically it is much different. Gamrot chain wrestled like a maniac, averaging over 5.3 takedowns per 15 minutes and here we could see him get 25 minutes of it. Olivera coming back quickly after his first loss via knockout is interesting also, just a lot of stuff stacked again Do Bronxs here, and Gamrot has very DK friendly style of fighting.
CLAYTON CARPENTER
Carpenter and Filho will come down to who can impose the wrestling/grappling offensively. Carpenter is better on the feet, out paces Filho almost 2-1 on significant strike output, and they both average over 2 takedowns per fight. Carpenter averages 100 DK points in is wins, and at this price tag would be optimal as hell.
Under $8,000 PRICE POINT
JHONATA DINIZ
Pinto is a big boy who damn near got knocked out by Austen Lane before sending him to the shadow realm in the second round for his debut in the UFC. Diniz has not looked superb in his own right, but Lane is garbage and I think we will see Diniz get to Pinto and finish what Lane started.
STEWART NICOLL
Wrestle heavy picks this week, as Nicoll will be looking to wrestle and control the fight, while Lucas will look to pressure and finish the fight on the feet. The dog with wrestling upside against someone who has bad take down defense seems like a good route to take here.
CHECK OUT ADP DFS FOR MORE
If you are interested in playing DFS for other sports, you would probably also enjoy the content that I provide on my website www.adpdfs.com. We have an entire team of DFS professionals that cover most major sports and do so from a data driven perspective that has us enjoying green screens week in and week out. Hope to see you over there!
