Price Point Picks: UFC Vegas 104

UFC Vegas 104 Price Point Picks

We are sitting at 13 fights and hopefully we dodge the norovirus bug that tore through the PI last week and got 2 fights cancelled on fight day. We got 4 people making their debut, and overall it is not a fight card that has a bunch of well known fighters on it, but we get a decent middleweight headliner with Dolidze coming off two wins in a row for a rematch against Vettori who has not fought in almost 2 years. This looks like a fairly difficult card to navigate with the talent on here, but nevertheless let’s get down to it.

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$9,000+ PRICE POINT

JOSIAS MUASA

We get an undefeated prospect again going against someone 11 years older, 2 inches shorter and Josias has a 5 inch reach advantage. He can win on the feet or take Vera down and finish him on the mat if need be, and should be in the mix for highest scorer of the night.

KEVIN VALLEJOS

He debuted on the DWCS and landed almost 7 significant strikes per minute, is fighting a guy who gets hit a lot and will try to stay at range against the more powerful and smaller Vallejos. Choi has lost 4 of his last 5 fights, and Kevin looks like he has all the talent in the world to get a KO here..

 

$8,000 – $8,900 PRICE POINT

ZALESKI DOS SANTOS

This fight is a battle of the older guys with EZS being 38 and Chidi being 36. Chidi normally has low output, before his last fight he had never crossed the 60 significant strike mark, and Zaleski is going to push the pace and keep Chidi on his backfoot. He will mix in takedowns, is coming off a TKO win his last time out, and look for Zaleski to defeat both Chidi and father time.

ROMAN DOLIDZE

We haven’t seen Vetorri since 2023, and Dolidze has been active in both middleweight and light heavyweight divisions coming off of wins in both. This is a rematch where Roman lost the first time, but I think we see him make the correct adjustments and in a win he should go 10x easily at the 8000 salary. Vetorri historically loves to play defense with his face, so Roman needs to pour it on him and keep moving up the rankings.

Under $8,000 PRICE POINT

RYAN SPANN

This is the debut at heavyweight for Spann, and he gets a guy who will not wrestle him- yes Waldo took down Despigne but that is a different gameplan and opponent all together, because Spann has legit BJJ and would be more likely to find a choke before Waldo found a finish with ground and pound. Spann should be faster, is taller and has the 1 inch reach advantage, and I think he works to get Waldo down and choke him out.

AJ CUNNINGHAM

AJ is very big for this division, has a 4 inch height advantage and 6 inch reach advantage going up against someone who is going to look to wrestle. His salary opens up the rest of your lineup to pick anyone you want, and his output of 7.6 significant strikes per minute and each advantage will hopefully mitigate the westling.


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Price Wallace

Price Wallace

Founder of Analytically Driven Plays and all-around DFS stud. I am guest writing over here on We Want Picks hoping to share some of my Draftkings DFS knowledge with you. If you guys have any questions please reach out to me in the Discord server and we can go over the slate together!