When I first looked at the UFC Vegas 60 slate on DraftKings I was incredibly underwhelmed. It seemed like the pricing was brutal, and that I wasn’t going to be able to find a lineup I liked no matter what. So needless to say, I expected it to be the same, or maybe even worse, when it came to FanDuel because their pricing is generally a bit sharper. I couldn’t have been more wrong.
For the first time in a long time, the pricing is actually more flexible on FanDuel than it is on DraftKings in my opinion, and I am pretty excited about it. My weekend is still going to hinge on a few fighters, but assuming those fighters come through, this has the potential to be an amazing week.
Below you will see my FanDuel breakdown for UFC Vegas 60. If you have any questions please don’t hesitate to ask me in the Discord server.
BUILD STYLE
BALANCED (BUT TOP HEAVY)
This week is salaried very favorably for UFC Vegas 60 and that will allow a really nice balanced build. You could potentially also go “Stars and Scrubs”, but I think you would be making things harder for yourself when you can basically get to a point where you only have to worry about two dogs with a balanced build.
To make an ideal balanced build for this event you would start by narrowing your over $20 fighters to the one that you think has the best chance of winning. Then you would want to look for three mid to middle high salaried fighters. This is the $16-$19 range. Then look for a fighter that you can live with in the bottom salary range, under $11 (maybe $12 max). This will leave you with one spot that you will need to fill from the slight dogs, choose wisely with what you have left. If you went too hard on the higher salary ranges you might be left picking from the bottom again.
This build is being suggested for small field single entry contests, and you should definitely deviate for anything multiple-entry, or even larger field single entry contests. Let's get into the plays this week;
FAVORITE PLAY
JOE PYFER – $22
There are seven fighters over $20 on this slate, so the options are definitely there. For me it was a clear choice of Joe Pyfer because his opponent is easily the weakest of the group. Pyfer is a hot prospect coming up and it is not outside the norm for the UFC to give these types of fighters easy wins that they can dominate to boost their fan appeal. That is exactly what we have here in Pyfer in my opinion.
Pyfer doesn’t come without one hesitation however, he was starched by Dustin Stolzfus in his first DWCS fight. He managed to come back and get another shot however two years later and do the same to his opponent. Pyfer has solid power, and takedown upside as well to help our score here.
Pyfer’s opponent, Alen Amedovski, is not exactly setting the world on fire against any of his opponents. He came into the UFC with an 8-0 record, but has lost each of his three UFC fights in spectacular fashion. In fact, he has only connected on a total of nine (9) strikes over those three (3) fights. Pyfer by destruction, huge score incoming.
VALUE PLAY
CAMERON VANCAMP – $10
For anyone reading this that isn’t familiar with We Want Picks, VanCamp has been selected as the #LOTW (lock of the week) by Jacob. Who cares one might ask, and that is fair, there are people calling locks all over the internet. The difference here is that there are not people on a 10 underdog streak all over the internet like Jacob. I have to ride with it until the heat dies down.
Beyond the lock of the week juice here however, this line is very wide. His opponent, Motta, is not the most impressive fighter with only two UFC fights himself. One was a boring decision and the other he was knocked out by an aging Jim Miller.
In Cameron VanCamp’s one UFC fight he was actually handling himself pretty well until he was clipped by an extremely loose and powerful Andre Fiahlo. If VanCamp can bring that same energy into this fight, and maybe use some of his wrestling as well, he should be in a prime position to pull the dog win out here.
FIGHT TO TARGET
GREGORY RODRIGUES – $16 / CHIDI NJOKUANI – $16
There are actually a couple fights on the UFC Vegas 60 slate for FanDuel that got even pricing. Another off the top of my head was the Bill Algeo and Andre Fili fight. This fight is the one that I think will be more important to target however as there is a ton of opportunity for a finish from either one of these fighters. A finish is king on FanDuel unlike DraftKings where a solid wrestling performance can outscore every finish on the slate.
Gregory Rodrigues has been on a tear recently, and has impressed in virtually every aspect of MMA. He has shown solid striking, good wrestling, impressive grappling, and has had pretty solid output as well. This makes him a hard fighter to ignore in a matchup like this.
On the other side of the cage is Chidi Njokuani who is on a three fight knockout win streak. Chidi is definitely the more explosive and well rounded striker in this contest, but unfortunately doesn’t have much on the ground, or hasn’t had to show it yet maybe? Chidi’s volume, when extrapolated for the length of the fight, has been on par with Rodrigues, so we are likely to see a moderately high paced fight, and if it stays standing Chidi should probably get the nod.
As always though,I am going to tell you which side of this one I am on for my single entry lineups. It's pretty clear for me actually. I like Gregory Rodrigues to get the job done. He just has more tools available to him from what I have seen, and when it comes to MMA that is never a negative. Obviously he has been knocked out before, and Chidi definitely has the power to make that happen, so I will be wary of every big attempt while they are standing. Ultimately I think Rodrigues is solid enough on the feet to not get caught and deliver his own offense, and then he is surely in a class of his own in this matchup when the fight finds the ground.
GOOD LUCK THIS WEEKEND
Good look to all heading into this event. If you are watching it at home make sure to follow along with @WeWantPicks on Twitter for live bets. Also make sure to tweet your winning lineups at us and we will do our best to recognize your greatness.
Enjoy the event, and make sure to keep it locked on We Want Picks for tons of great MMA content.
