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After one of the most entertaining fight cards I have ever seen, we are back looking to obtain consecutive perfect weeks on our best bets. Last week we had success on our ‘Play Hard to Bet Parlay cashed’ along with our Ismagulov vs Kutateladze to go the distance bet. Hopefully we get another banger card this weekend, and continue our prediction streak.

Chris Curtis vs Rodolfo Vieira | Under 1.5 Rounds  (Best Bet #1)

Chris Curtis exploded onto the UFC scene in 2021, with 2 knockouts highly regarded opponents. Now earning rightful betting favourite status, Curtis will meet grappling specialist Rodolfo Vieira in the octagon, a Brazilian who finishes 88% of his wins by way of submission. However, this Jiu Jitsu ace was recently exposed by Anthony Hernandez, who was able to deny the takedowns and sweep attempts of Vieira, causing him to completely gas out after a few exchanges. Rodolfo Vieira has some of the slickest ground work in the sport, but I fear that he will struggle to implement his BJJ in this matchup and may fatigue as a result of these failed attempts.

Rodolfo and Curtis are both specialists in terms of their mixed martial arts, and they are proven finishers. With a large discrepancy in the striking and grappling levels of each opponent, it is hard to confidently predict this fight from a head to head perspective. However, I am extremely bullish that this fight does not go over 1.5 rounds.

Curtis has demonstrated that his power and speed translates to the premier promotion, and Vieira’s has showcased that his grappling is world class. Vieira’s cardio, wrestling and striking skills are not up to the standards of an elite mixed martial artist, and I am concerned that he will exert too much energy in trying to get this fight to the mat, whilst also avoiding the combinations that Curtis ought to throw particularly in the first round, where Curtis has finished 7 of the 16 opponents he has KO’d.

Regardless of whether this fight is standing or is on the ground, there is too much of a skill gap on either side and I am adamant that there is a finish before the 7:31 mark. Therefore, my best bet of the week will be for this fight to go under 1.5 rounds which is paying $1.60.

Thiago Moises vs Christos Giagos | Moises H2H (Best Bet #2)

I see a big discrepancy in the skillsets of Thiago Moises and Christos Giagos, particularly if this fight hits the mat. Moises’ prolific Brazilian Jiu Jitsu is incredibly slick and technical, and it will cause a lot of problems for Giagos. Thiago has faced some high level competition recently in Islam Makhachev and Joel Alvarez, and although he lost on both occasions, the experience he earned in facing those men will translate into his striking and wrestling progression in particular. I believe that his improved striking and wrestling skills which he has displayed since entering the promotion, will allow Thaigo to get this fight to the ground easier so he can look for submission opportunities and impose his will upon Giagos

Hopefully we can match last week’s efforts from a best bets perspective. If the card can be half as good as last week’s, we are in for a treat. If you are following my tips, make sure you do your own research and gamble responsibly. Enjoy the fights!