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Hello, and welcome to We Want Picks! My name is Josh and in this article we will be going over the fights that are most likely to end in a stoppage. Please be aware that betting lines are dynamic and change with the wind, so some of these numbers may not be 100% accurate by the time you see this write up.
The purpose of the article is to get a great player pool together for the Knockout Kings game on Monkey Knife Fight. The game is a great way to win money as choosing the one correct pick option is almost free each and every week. If you like to test the waters, you can always choose to get more right than that, however at that point you are usually better off going with the actual betting lines when it comes to your return on investment.
Let’s take a deeper look into who the bookies think will be sleeping this week.
FIGHT DOES NOT GO TO DECISION LINES
SERGHEI SPIVAC vs. GREG HARDY (-220)
I touched on this fight pretty heavily in my DraftKings breakdown, and nothing really changes here. If this fight goes the distance it is likely a Spivac, but Spivac also has a decent shot to end the fight with ground and pound, but this line definitely reflects Spivac’s chances to get a submission as well – which would not be a win on Knockout Kings. I do believe that if the fight ends in a standing knockout that it will be Greg Hardy getting his hand raised.
JALIN TURNER vs. JAMIE MULLARKEY (-210)
I really don’t have much interest in this fight outside of potentially using it in Knockout Kings. Every single UFC victory of Jalin Turner has come from stoppage, but his last two were actually submissions. Make sure to consider that when choosing him for Knockout Kings. Mullarkey is also on a two fight winning streak, both by knockout. This is a fight that could easily have some fireworks.
DEVONTE SMITH vs. LUDOVIT KLEIN (-175)
This is the fight that I would personally lean towards stacking. Devonte Smith has only known knockouts in the UFC, either creating them, or suffering them himself. The man makes sure to make it a fight each and every time out. Klein might be a little short on power, but he is also a heavy and aggressive striker in his own right and has the gas to get a stop by cardio. The good news with using this fight is that you can almost guarantee that a submission won’t ruin your Knockout Kings play.
NICOLAE NEGUMEREANU vs. KENNEDY NZECHUKWU (-175)
This will probably be in contention for the wildest fight of the night. Kennedy Nzechukwu has had a bit of theme developing in his fights where he starts slow early – only to come back and score the knockout. His last two fights that resulted in wins went this way in fact. His most recent fight never left the slow start stage. Negumereanu is a bit heavy handed himself, and while I believe is at a big disadvantage striking in this fight, he really doesn’t have a history of going to the ground either, so this fight will likely stay on the feet and end on the feet in one direction or another.
KNOCKOUT KINGS LINEUP ASSEMBLY
The first thing that needs to be done when building a Knockout Kings lineup on Monkey Knife Fight is to decide what level of risk you are taking. Generally the pick one option is best, because two drastically reduces your odds of winning and three – as stated above – doesn’t pay out as much just betting those fights individually to end in a knockout on a Sportsbook. If you live in an area where only fantasy is legal however and want to roll the dice, may the odds be ever in your favor!
The first thing I like to decide on is which fight I am doubling up on in my pick one lineup. The two fights at the top have a serious chance to end in submission, so I am somewhat leaning away from both of them.
The third fight however, Devonte Smith (who only knows knockouts) and Ludovit Klein, who could in theory strike his way to a knockout – especially in the last half of the fight – is looking like the winning play to me. This fight also has virtually zero chance of submission as well which is great! So that is where I will start;
- Devonte Smith
- Ludovit Klein
All that is left is to find the “just in case” fighter in the event that Smith versus Klein goes to a decision. For me that choice is narrowed to two fighters. The first being Greg Hardy because if he wins this fight, it is without question going to come from a knockout. Spivac is simply too much better than him everywhere else except power.
The second would be Kennedy Nzechukwu. His go for broke, come forward style could get him caught out there, but I do believe he is the better fighter in his contest. Not to mention, Negumereanu has 29% striking defense. That is one of those needs context metrics, so take it for what it is worth, in this context I am taking it as he will be sleeping.
My three Knockout Kings play are;
- Devonte Smith
- Ludovit Klein
- Kennedy Nzechukwu
Good luck to all this weekend, I hope all your plays are mighty!
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